12/11/14- Perhaps The Most Important Fantasy Stat Of Them All

Posted: December 11, 2014 in News, Opinion, Analysis
Tags: , , ,

Standard deviation is the statistic I use to measure a fantasy football players consistency.  The lower their standard deviation, the more consistent a player is when it comes to scoring fantasy points close to their average.  This is helpful when determining which player to start when deciding between two or more players that score approximately the same amount of points per game.

jscreationzs/freedigitalphotos.net

jscreationzs/freedigitalphotos.net

Now, sometimes you may want to start a player who is less consistent.  Boom or bust players are useful when you are an underdog, and you need the upside of a potentially explosive player make up the difference.  There are two links below.  The first one will direct you to a spreadsheet that shows the top 150 fantasy football players in scoring at all non-kicker positions as they are ranked by standard deviation.  You’ll see all the week-by-week scoring followed by total points, points-per-game, and finally standard deviation.  There more on this on my podcast.  Remember, low score wins when it comes to standard deviation.

2014 STANDARD DEVIATION – TOP 150 ST DEV-3

 

This is the second version.  It is an analysis of standard deviation over the last eight games.  After all, you may feel that how a player performed in September is not as relevant as the recent past.

2014 STANDARD DEVIATION – Last 8 Weeks

 

And finally, here are the standard deviations for the top 25 defenses, both entire season and last 8 weeks.

2014 STANDARD DEVIATION – Defense

 

Steve Broadway is the author of Fantasy Football Playoffs Guaranteed, the only fantasy football guide that guarantees you’ll make the playoffs or DOUBLE your money back.  For more information, visit fantasyfootballplayoffsguaranteed.com

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