The Accuracy of My Week 3 Projections, and a Tip of the Cap to WWE No Mercy

Before we get to how slightly awesome I was in fantasy football in week 3, let’s take a moment to pause so that we may honor the great WWE PPV, No Mercy.  7 matches and 6 of them got at least 1 thumbs up. Cena and Reigns surpassed the lofty expectations fans had for their match and concluded with a metaphorical passing of the torch.  Good stuff.

Blake Bortles outscored Cam Newton.  DeMarco Murray returned to prominence, but LeSean McCoy managed less than 7.  T.Y. Hilton scored double digits for the first time all season, but Mike Evans finished 45th among receivers.  And then there was Jacksonville. And after Jacksonville, Mercedes Lewis.  Are you serious? It was a very unpredictable week, so SURELY my projections would be way off.

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Actually (Broadway said with a gleam in his eye), I did quite well for myself in this bizarre week.  Though my teams went 11-10 this week, a 51% winning percentage in a week like this is pretty much all you can hope for all things considered.  Let’s take a look at my highest and lowest scoring teams this week.  Screen Shot 2017-09-27 at 2.11.01 PM.pngScreen Shot 2017-09-27 at 2.12.28 PM.png

That is a crippling disparity but remember… it’s Fantasy Football PLAYOFFS Guaranteed… no one said anything about going undefeated. These teams are ranked 2nd and 3rd in their divisions.  Here’s the overall picture of the success I’m having this season:

  • 33 wins, 24 losses
  • 58% winning percentage.
    • Frankly, this is a little low for me, but I’ve won more than I’ve lost, and 58% should land me in more playoffs than not.
  • Average League Ranking 4th.  Top four teams make the playoffs.  At this rate, I’ll be in the playoffs in the majority of my leagues.  Remember, last year I went to the playoffs in 21 out of 22 leagues, and I typically make the playoffs in 75% of these I am in each season.

 

But here’s more proof of my success, and why you should be using my projections.  Remember, this was a week of some monstrous point totals as well as drastic underachievement.

Yet, my projections were closer than ever.  On average, when I compare my projections for each of the 130 players I evaluated this week, my projections were off by 0.17.  That’s less than 1, less than 1/2, and less than a 1/4 of a single point.  It’s 17th hundredths of a point.  You for real?  Surely.

Between the Fantasy Football Draft Matrix® and The Most Accurate Projections in the Business®, I’m providing analysis as good as or better than any of the gurus you see on TV or on the mega sites.

 

“You’re Welcome.”

-Damien Sandow