READ THE THE FOLLOWING SENTENCE (then read it again):
Due to circumstance beyond my control, I started Rob Gronkowski (inactive) in 6 out of my 21 leagues… but still managed to win 11 and lose 10 games this week.
Think about that for a second when you are using some other site to set your lineups. Six of my teams had ZERO points at the TE position where I usually average 10 ppg.
And I don’t think I’ve ever had more accurate projections in my life. One of my readers challenged my ranking of Latavius Murray; he turned out to be right. My forecast was anything but immaculate on that one.
But you know what? I also didn’t predict that Todd Gurley would have 3 points! THREE! So, as always I say this: Nobody kNows Nothing… therefore its the overall accuracy that matters. It’s more important than to set a good lineup than debating one player vs another.
So when I say that in Week 5 that my projections– on average, per player- was off by only 0.03, do you get what I’m saying? Yahoo doesn’t. NFL.com doesn’t. Nor does ESPN. That’s why I say my projections are The Most Accurate In the Business.
Here’s the proof:
NOTE: THESE ARE NOT WEEK 6 PROJECTIONS!
| RANK | QB | WEEK 5 PROJECTION | WEEK 5 ACTUAL POINTS | SB (MINUS) ACTUAL |
| 1 | Tom Brady | 22.10 | 12.62 | 9.48 |
| 2 | Aaron Rodgers | 21.20 | 24.04 | -2.84 |
| 3 | Dak Prescott | 18.50 | 29.74 | -11.24 |
| 4 | Russell Wilson | 17.00 | 11.52 | 5.48 |
| 5 | Eli Manning | 16.70 | 13.00 | 3.70 |
| 6 | Carson Wentz | 16.60 | 27.26 | -10.66 |
| 7 | Philip Rivers | 16.60 | 20.82 | -4.22 |
| 8 | Cam Newton | 16.50 | 26.20 | -9.70 |
| 9 | Ben Roethlisberger | 16.40 | 2.58 | 13.82 |
| 10 | Alex Smith | 16.30 | 26.68 | -10.38 |
| 11 | Deshaun Watson | 16.20 | 35.54 | -19.34 |
| 12 | Andy Dalton | 16.00 | 13.32 | 2.68 |
| 13 | Jared Goff | 16.00 | 7.72 | 8.28 |
| 14 | Matthew Stafford | 16.00 | 15.16 | 0.84 |
| 15 | Jameis Winston | 14.00 | 14.86 | -0.86 |
| RANK | RB | WEEK 5 PROJECTION | WEEK 5 ACTUAL POINTS | |
| 34 | Aaron Jones | 6.30 | 19.4 | -13.10 |
| 19 | Ameer Abdullah*** | 9.00 | 3.4 | 5.60 |
| 28 | Andre Ellington | 6.80 | 6.3 | 0.50 |
| 12 | Bilal Powell | 9.90 | 3.3 | 6.60 |
| 9 | Carlos Hyde*** | 10.60 | 1.8 | 8.80 |
| 33 | Chris Johnson | 6.30 | 29.0 | -22.70 |
| 21 | Christian McCaffrey | 7.70 | 9.8 | -2.10 |
| 36 | D’Onta Foreman | 6.20 | 1.7 | 4.50 |
| 13 | DeMarco Murray | 9.80 | 4.9 | 4.90 |
| 35 | Derrick Henry | 6.30 | 0.9 | 5.40 |
| 20 | Doug Martin | 7.90 | 14.2 | -6.30 |
| 17 | Duke Johnson | 9.10 | 14.3 | -5.20 |
| 32 | Eddie Lacy | 6.40 | 2.8 | 3.60 |
| 3 | Ezekiel Elliott | 15.60 | 13.2 | 2.40 |
| 23 | Frank Gore | 7.50 | 8.6 | -1.10 |
| 30 | Giovani Bernard | 6.50 | 3.2 | 3.30 |
| 24 | Isaiah Crowell | 7.50 | 6.7 | 0.80 |
| 38 | Jacquizz Rodgers | 5.80 | 1.5 | 4.30 |
| 31 | James White | 6.50 | 6.3 | 0.20 |
| 39 | Javorius Allen | 5.70 | 14.5 | -8.80 |
| 11 | Jay Ajayi | 10.00 | 5.9 | 4.10 |
| 22 | Joe Mixon | 7.60 | 11.1 | -3.50 |
| 37 | Jonathan Stewart | 5.80 | 4.4 | 1.40 |
| 6 | Jordan Howard | 12.00 | 7.6 | 4.40 |
| 1 | Kareem Hunt | 17.80 | 11.6 | 6.20 |
| 14 | Lamar Miller | 9.80 | 8.9 | 0.90 |
| 15 | Latavius Murray | 9.70 | 4.3 | 5.40 |
| 2 | Le’Veon Bell | 16.80 | 9.3 | 7.50 |
| 10 | LeGarrette Blount | 10.30 | 7.4 | 2.90 |
| 5 | Leonard Fournette | 13.20 | 30.4 | -17.20 |
| 8 | LeSean McCoy | 11.60 | 8.9 | 2.70 |
| 27 | Marshawn Lynch | 6.91 | 11.3 | -4.39 |
| 7 | Melvin Gordon | 11.90 | 28.3 | -16.40 |
| 16 | Mike Gillislee | 9.70 | 5.2 | 4.50 |
| 18 | Tarik Cohen | 9.00 | 0.7 | 8.30 |
| 40 | Theo Riddick | 5.50 | 5.3 | 0.20 |
| 4 | Todd Gurley | 13.90 | 3 | 10.90 |
| 26 | Ty Montgomery*** | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 29 | Wayne Gallman | 6.60 | 8.2 | -1.60 |
| 25 | Wendell Smallwood | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 |
| RANK | WR | WEEK 5 PROJECTION | WEEK 5 ACTUAL POINTS | |
| 10 | A.J. Green | 9.00 | 22.9 | -13.90 |
| 29 | Adam Thielen | 6.60 | 4.5 | 2.10 |
| 36 | Allen Hurns | 5.50 | 4.90 | 0.60 |
| 15 | Alshon Jeffery | 7.60 | 3.1 | 4.50 |
| 25 | Amari Cooper | 6.80 | 0.8 | 6.00 |
| 2 | Antonio Brown | 11.90 | 15.7 | -3.80 |
| 9 | Brandin Cooks | 9.20 | 8.5 | 0.70 |
| 3 | Chris Hogan | 11.30 | 13.4 | -2.10 |
| 5 | DeAndre Hopkins | 10.90 | 23.2 | -12.30 |
| 24 | DeSean Jackson | 6.90 | 10.60 | -3.70 |
| 20 | DeVante Parker | 7.10 | 0.6 | 6.50 |
| 35 | Devin Funchess | 5.70 | 11.3 | -5.60 |
| 6 | Dez Bryant | 9.70 | 11.2 | -1.50 |
| 17 | Donte Moncrief | 7.40 | 3.2 | 4.20 |
| 13 | Doug Baldwin | 8.30 | 3.7 | 4.60 |
| 14 | Golden Tate | 8.20 | 4.8 | 3.40 |
| 26 | Jarvis Landry | 6.80 | 10.4 | -3.60 |
| 37 | Jeremy Maclin | 5.50 | 4.3 | 1.20 |
| 40 | Jermaine Kearse | 5.00 | 9.8 | -4.80 |
| 1 | Jordy Nelson | 12.00 | 8.4 | 3.60 |
| 11 | Keenan Allen | 9.00 | 6.7 | 2.30 |
| 27 | Kelvin Benjamin | 6.70 | 11.8 | -5.10 |
| 38 | Kenny Stills | 5.30 | 1.3 | 4.00 |
| 18 | Larry Fitzgerald | 7.30 | 5.1 | 2.20 |
| 39 | Marqise Lee | 5.00 | 4.9 | 0.10 |
| 28 | Martavis Bryant | 6.70 | 3.4 | 3.30 |
| 22 | Michael Crabtree*** | 7.00 | 14.2 | -7.20 |
| 8 | Mike Evans | 9.30 | 4.9 | 4.40 |
| 4 | Odell Beckham*** | 11.20 | 16.5 | -5.30 |
| 21 | Paul Richardson | 7.00 | 3.5 | 3.50 |
| 19 | Pierre Garcon | 7.20 | 9.4 | -2.20 |
| 16 | Randall Cobb | 7.40 | 2.9 | 4.50 |
| 30 | Rishard Matthews | 6.30 | 3.1 | 3.20 |
| 33 | Sammy Watkins | 5.90 | 0 | 5.90 |
| 7 | Stefon Diggs | 9.60 | 0.4 | 9.20 |
| 32 | Sterling Shepard | 6.10 | 0.90 | 5.20 |
| 23 | T.Y. Hilton | 6.90 | 17.70 | -10.80 |
| 12 | Tyreek Hill | 8.90 | 6.8 | 2.10 |
| 31 | Tyrell Williams | 6.20 | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| 34 | Will Fuller | 5.80 | 18.2 | -12.40 |
| RANK | TE | WEEK 5 PROJECTION | WEEK 5 ACTUAL POINTS | |
| 1 | Travis Kelce | 11.40 | 9.8 | 1.60 |
| 2 | Zach Ertz | 8.00 | 12.1 | -4.10 |
| 3 | Charles Clay | 7.70 | 3.1 | 4.60 |
| 4 | Delanie Walker | 7.60 | 2.5 | 5.10 |
| 5 | Kyle Rudolph | 7.60 | 10.5 | -2.90 |
| 6 | Cameron Brate | 7.60 | 12.8 | -5.20 |
| 7 | Jimmy Graham | 6.90 | 9.7 | -2.80 |
| 8 | Evan Engram | 5.70 | 0 | 5.70 |
| 9 | Jason Witten | 5.40 | 4.1 | 1.30 |
| 10 | Jack Doyle*** | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 11 | Martellus Bennett | 4.90 | 5.3 | -0.40 |
| 12 | Zach Miller | 4.40 | 9.9 | -5.50 |
| 13 | Hunter Henry | 4.30 | 10.2 | -5.90 |
| 14 | Eric Ebron | 4.20 | 0.6 | 3.60 |
| 15 | Jared Cook | 4.20 | 0.5 | 3.70 |
| RANK | K | WEEK 5 PROJECTION | WEEK 5 ACTUAL POINTS | |
| 1 | Stephen Gostkowski | 11.00 | 13 | -2.00 |
| 2 | Greg Zuerlein | 10.00 | 4 | 6.00 |
| 3 | Jake Elliott | 10.00 | 10 | 0.00 |
| 4 | Ryan Succop | 9.00 | 4 | 5.00 |
| 5 | Justin Tucker | 9.00 | 12 | -3.00 |
| 6 | Graham Gano | 9.00 | 9 | 0.00 |
| 7 | Dan Bailey | 9.00 | 7 | 2.00 |
| 8 | Giorgio Tavecchio | 8.00 | 5 | 3.00 |
| 9 | Robbie Gould | 8.00 | 11 | -3.00 |
| 10 | Nick Folk | 8.00 | 2 | 6.00 |
| RANK | DEF | WEEK 5 PROJECTION | WEEK 5 ACTUAL POINTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia | 11.00 | 8 | 3.00 |
| 2 | Pittsburgh | 10.00 | 5 | 5.00 |
| 3 | Minnesota | 10.00 | 6 | 4.00 |
| 4 | Kansas City | 10.00 | 10 | 0.00 |
| 5 | Oakland | 9.00 | 0 | 9.00 |
| 6 | Jacksonville | 9.00 | 28 | -19.00 |
| 7 | New York Giants | 8.00 | 4 | 4.00 |
| 8 | New York Jets | 8.00 | 8 | 0.00 |
| 9 | Seattle | 8.00 | 16 | -8.00 |
| 10 | Detroit | 8.00 | 3 | 5.00 |
|
AVERAGE DIFFERENECE:
|
-0.03 |
