HUGE NEWS: I’ve modified the way I compute projections and having tested this new method against all previous 15 weeks of this season, my numbers are more accurate than ever– just in time for the finals!
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| RANK | QB | PROJECTION |
| 1 | Cam Newton, Car QB Q | 22.6 |
| 2 | Alex Smith, KC QB | 19.7 |
| 3 | Ben Roethlisberger, Pit QB | 19.5 |
| 4 | Russell Wilson, Sea QB | 19.4 |
| 5 | Blake Bortles, Jax QB | 19.0 |
| 6 | Tom Brady, NE QB | 18.1 |
| 7 | Case Keenum, Min QB | 17.9 |
| 8 | Nick Foles, Phi QB | 17.5 |
| 9 | Jameis Winston, TB QB | 17.4 |
| 10 | Drew Brees, NO QB | 16.8 |
| 11 | Matthew Stafford, Det QB | 16.7 |
| 12 | Tyrod Taylor, Buf QB | 16.5 |
| 13 | Kirk Cousins, Wsh QB | 16.4 |
| 14 | Philip Rivers, LAC QB | 16.4 |
| 15 | Dak Prescott, Dal QB | 16.0 |
| RANK | RB | PROJECTION |
| 1 | Todd Gurley II, LAR RB | 20.5 |
| 2 | Le’Veon Bell, Pit RB | 20.1 |
| 3 | Kareem Hunt, KC RB | 19.0 |
| 4 | Melvin Gordon, LAC RB | 16.4 |
| 5 | Mark Ingram, NO RB | 16.3 |
| 6 | LeSean McCoy, Buf RB Q | 15.9 |
| 7 | Alvin Kamara, NO RB | 15.6 |
| 8 | Devonta Freeman, Atl RB | 15.3 |
| 9 | Ezekiel Elliott, Dal RB | 14.5 |
| 10 | Leonard Fournette, Jax RB | 13.2 |
| 11 | Christian McCaffrey, Car RB | 12.6 |
| 12 | Kenyan Drake, Mia RB | 11.8 |
| 13 | Latavius Murray, Min RB | 10.7 |
| 14 | C.J. Anderson, Den RB | 10.5 |
| 15 | Jerick McKinnon, Min RB | 9.9 |
| 16 | Jordan Howard, Chi RB | 9.7 |
| 17 | Lamar Miller, Hou RB | 9.7 |
| 18 | Alex Collins, Bal RB | 9.6 |
| 19 | Carlos Hyde, SF RB | 9.5 |
| 20 | Jonathan Stewart, Car RB | 9.5 |
| 21 | Dion Lewis, NE RB | 9.3 |
| 22 | Jamaal Williams, GB RB | 8.8 |
| 23 | Duke Johnson Jr., Cle RB | 8.7 |
| 24 | Frank Gore, Ind RB | 8.5 |
| 25 | Derrick Henry, Ten RB | 8.5 |
| 26 | Marshawn Lynch, Oak RB | 8.3 |
| 27 | Javorius Allen, Bal RB | 8.1 |
| 28 | Bilal Powell, NYJ RB | 7.9 |
| 29 | Tevin Coleman, Atl RB Q | 7.8 |
| 30 | DeMarco Murray, Ten RB | 7.7 |
| 31 | Jay Ajayi, Phi RB | 7.6 |
| 32 | Isaiah Crowell, Cle RB Q | 7.6 |
| 33 | Theo Riddick, Det RB | 7.0 |
| 34 | Joe Mixon, Cin RB Q | 6.9 |
| 35 | Orleans Darkwa, NYG RB | 6.9 |
| 36 | ***Samaje Perine, Wsh RB | 6.5 |
| 37 | ***Kerwynn Williams, Ari RB Q | 4.7 |
| 38 | Peyton Barber, TB RB | 4.2 |
| 39 | ***James White, NE RB Q | 3.9 |
| 40 | Mike Davis, Sea RB | 3.6 |
| RANK | WR | PROJECTION |
| 1 | ***DeAndre Hopkins, Hou WR Q | 14.4 |
| 2 | Tyreek Hill, KC WR | 13.0 |
| 3 | Keelan Cole, Jax WR | 12.4 |
| 4 | Michael Thomas, NO WR | 12.0 |
| 5 | Michael Crabtree, Oak WR | 11.0 |
| 6 | Nelson Agholor, Phi WR | 10.8 |
| 7 | Keenan Allen, LAC WR | 10.3 |
| 8 | Alshon Jeffery, Phi WR | 10.1 |
| 9 | Brandin Cooks, NE WR | 10.0 |
| 10 | Julio Jones, Atl WR Q | 9.9 |
| 11 | Jarvis Landry, Mia WR | 9.6 |
| 12 | Sterling Shepard, NYG WR | 9.5 |
| 13 | Mike Evans, TB WR | 9.2 |
| 14 | Robby Anderson, NYJ WR Q | 8.5 |
| 15 | Rishard Matthews, Ten WR | 8.4 |
| 16 | Marvin Jones Jr., Det WR | 8.3 |
| 17 | Stefon Diggs, Min WR | 8.1 |
| 18 | JuJu Smith-Schuster, Pit WR | 8.0 |
| 19 | Larry Fitzgerald, Ari WR | 7.9 |
| 20 | A.J. Green, Cin WR | 7.9 |
| 21 | Adam Thielen, Min WR | 7.8 |
| 22 | Josh Gordon, Cle WR | 7.7 |
| 23 | Dez Bryant, Dal WR | 7.6 |
| 24 | Martavis Bryant, Pit WR | 7.3 |
| 25 | Mike Wallace, Bal WR | 7.2 |
| 26 | Marquise Goodwin, SF WR Q | 7.2 |
| 27 | Demaryius Thomas, Den WR | 7.2 |
| 28 | ***Devin Funchess, Car WR Q | 7.1 |
| 29 | Cooper Kupp, LAR WR | 6.6 |
| 30 | Golden Tate, Det WR | 6.5 |
| 31 | Robert Woods, LAR WR | 6.3 |
| 32 | ***Jamison Crowder, Wsh WR Q | 6.3 |
| 33 | Mohamed Sanu, Atl WR Q | 6.2 |
| 34 | T.Y. Hilton, Ind WR | 6.0 |
| 35 | Sammy Watkins, LAR WR | 5.9 |
| 36 | Doug Baldwin, Sea WR | 5.9 |
| 37 | ***Amari Cooper, Oak WR Q | 5.7 |
| 38 | Paul Richardson, Sea WR | 5.6 |
| 39 | Kenny Stills, Mia WR | 5.5 |
| 40 | ***Chris Hogan, NE WR Q | 5.4 |
| RANK | TE | PROJECTION |
| 1 | Rob Gronkowski, NE TE | 12.1 |
| 2 | Travis Kelce, KC TE | 10.0 |
| 3 | Zach Ertz, Phi TE | 9.8 |
| 4 | Evan Engram, NYG TE | 7.7 |
| 5 | Jimmy Graham, Sea TE | 7.4 |
| 6 | Kyle Rudolph, Min TE | 7.1 |
| 7 | Delanie Walker, Ten TE | 6.8 |
| 8 | Cameron Brate, TB TE | 6.4 |
| 9 | Jesse James, Pit TE | 6.3 |
| 10 | Greg Olsen, Car TE | 6.2 |
| 11 | Jason Witten, Dal TE | 5.6 |
| 12 | Jack Doyle, Ind TE | 5.4 |
| 13 | Jared Cook, Oak TE | 5.3 |
| 14 | Vernon Davis, Wsh TE | 4.8 |
| 15 | Benjamin Watson, Bal TE | 4.7 |
| RANK | K | PROJECTION |
| 1 | Stephen Gostkowski, NE K | 10.0 |
| 2 | Chris Boswell, Pit K | 10.0 |
| 3 | Robbie Gould, SF K | 10.0 |
| 4 | Justin Tucker, Bal K | 9.0 |
| 5 | Harrison Butker, KC K | 9.0 |
| 6 | Matt Prater, Det K | 9.0 |
| 7 | Ryan Succop, Ten K | 9.0 |
| 8 | Wil Lutz, NO K | 9.0 |
| 9 | Matt Bryant, Atl K | 9.0 |
| 10 | Jake Elliott, Phi K | 9.0 |
| RANK | DEF | PROJECTION |
| 1 | Ravens D/ST D/ST | 14 |
| 2 | Rams D/ST D/ST | 13 |
| 3 | Jaguars D/ST D/ST | 12 |
| 4 | Vikings D/ST D/ST | 10 |
| 5 | Panthers D/ST D/ST | 9 |
| 6 | Lions D/ST D/ST | 8 |
| 7 | Bears D/ST D/ST | 8 |
| 8 | Eagles D/ST D/ST | 7 |
| 9 | Saints D/ST D/ST | 7 |
| 10 | Chargers D/ST D/ST | 6 |
