2018 Week 4 Projections (updated 9/30/18)

Nice week.  16-4 in Week 3, people.  That’s an 80% winning rate across twenty leagues!  How did I do it?  I drafted with the Fantasy Football Draft Matrix and use my own projections every week.  Here are the projections I’ll be using in week 4. These are non-PPR projections, but reception leads at each position are marked with an “*”.

RANK POS PLAYER NON-PPR PROJECTION
1 QB Drew Brees 21.1
2 QB Ryan Fitzpatrick 20.1
3 QB Patrick Mahomes 19.8
4 QB Aaron Rodgers 18.7
5 QB Deshaun Watson 18.5
6 QB Ben Roethlisberger 18.5
7 QB Jared Goff 18.3
8 QB Philip Rivers 18.0
9 QB Ryan Tannehill 17.3
10 QB Matt Ryan 17.1
11 QB Andy Dalton 17.0
12 QB Tom Brady 16.8
13 QB Matthew Stafford 16.7
14 QB Russell Wilson 16.6
15 QB Eli Manning 16.5
16 QB Carson Wentz 16.0
17 QB Joe Flacco 15.8
18 QB Kirk Cousins 15.5
19 QB Case Keenum 15.4
20 QB Baker Mayfield 15.0
21 QB Mitchell Trubisky 14.9
22 QB Andrew Luck 14.8
23 QB Derek Carr 14.8
24 QB Dak Prescott 14.7
25 QB Marcus Mariota 14.4
RANK POS PLAYER NON-PPR PROJECTION
1 RB Alvin Kamara* 19.0
2 RB Todd Gurley 18.0
3 RB Ezekiel Elliott 17.4
4 RB Melvin Gordon* 17.0
5 RB Saquon Barkley* 16.6
6 RB David Johnson 15.9
7 RB James Conner* 15.8
8 RB Carlos Hyde 15.6
9 RB Lamar Miller 15.1
10 RB Jordan Howard 15.0
11 RB Dalvin Cook 15.0
12 RB Giovani Bernard 14.9
13 RB Tevin Coleman 14.6
14 RB Kareem Hunt 14.6
15 RB James White* 14.4
16 RB Marshawn Lynch 14.2
17 RB Matt Breida 13.8
18 RB Isaiah Crowell 13.7
19 RB Leonard Founette 13.3
20 RB Austin Ekeler 12.8
21 RB Sony Michel 12.3
22 RB Alex Collins 11.8
23 RB Chris Carson 11.6
24 RB Dion Lewis 11.4
25 RB Bilal Powell 11.3
26 RB Phillip Lindsay 10.8
27 RB Kerryon Johnson 10.4
28 RB Peyton Barber 10.3
29 RB Royce Freeman 10.2
30 RB Alfred Morris 10.1
31 RB Jay Ajayi 10.0
32 RB Derrick Henry 10.0
33 RB Kenyan Drake 9.9
34 RB Theo Riddick* 9.9
35 RB Duke Johnson 9.7
36 RB Nyheim Hines* 9.5
37 RB Ty Montgomery 9.3
38 RB LeSean McCoy 9.2
39 RB Jordan Wilkins 9.1
40 RB Javorius Allen* 9.0
41 RB Jalen Richard* 8.9
42 RB Ito Smith 8.7
43 RB Tarik Cohen 8.5
44 RB T.J. Yeldon 8.3
45 RB Jamaal Williams 8.1
46 RB Marlon Mack 7.9
47 RB Chase Edmonds 7.7
48 RB Aaron Jones 7.5
49 RB Darren Sproles 7.3
50 RB LeGarrette Blount 7.1
RANK POS PLAYER NON-PPR PROJECTION
1 WR Michael Thomas* 14.0
2 WR Antonio Brown* 13.5
3 WR DeAndre Hopkins* 11.0
4 WR A.J. Green 13.0
5 WR Keenan Allen 10.3
6 WR Odell Beckham* 12.5
7 WR Adam Thielen* 12.0
8 WR Julio Jones* 11.5
9 WR Jarvis Landry* 11.0
10 WR Mike Evans* 12.9
11 WR Davante Adams* 12.8
12 WR T.Y. Hilton 10.0
13 WR Tyreek Hill 12.6
14 WR Brandin Cooks 12.5
15 WR Golden Tate* 10.4
16 WR Robert Woods 10.3
17 WR JuJu Smith-Schuster* 10.2
18 WR Allen Robinson 10.1
19 WR Stefon Diggs 10.0
20 WR Cooper Kupp 9.9
21 WR Demaryius Thomas 9.8
22 WR Quincy Enunwa 9.7
23 WR Randall Cobb 9.6
24 WR Emmanuel Sanders 9.5
25 WR Will Fuller 9.4
26 WR Sterling Shepard 9.3
27 WR Kenny Golladay 9.2
28 WR Corey Davis 9.1
29 WR Sammy Watkins 9.0
30 WR Marvin Jones 8.9
31 WR John Brown 8.8
32 WR Michael Crabtree 8.7
33 WR Doug Baldwin 8.6
34 WR Kenny Stills 8.5
35 WR Nelson Agholor* 8.4
36 WR Larry Fitzgerald 8.3
37 WR Tyler Boyd 8.2
38 WR Amari Cooper 8.1
39 WR Keelan Cole 8.0
40 WR Chris Godwin 7.9
41 WR Calvin Ridley 7.8
42 WR Antonio Callaway 7.7
43 WR Chris Hogan 7.6
44 WR Danny Amendola 7.5
45 WR Taylor Gabriel 7.4
46 WR Jordy Nelson 7.3
47 WR Ted Ginn Jr. 7.2
48 WR Mike Williams 7.1
49 WR Kelvin Benjamin 7.0
50 WR Geronimo Allison 6.9
RANK POS PLAYER NON-PPR PROJECTION
1 TE Rob Gronkowski* 11.0
2 TE Travis Kelce* 10.5
3 TE Kyle Rudolph 8.4
4 TE Zach Ertz* 7.2
5 TE George Kittle 7.0
6 TE Jimmy Graham 5.9
7 TE Trey Burton 5.6
8 TE David Njoku 5.6
9 TE Jared Cook* 5.4
10 TE Will Dissly 5.3
11 TE O.J. Howard 5.2
12 TE Austin Hooper 5.1
13 TE Eric Ebron 5.0
14 TE Benjamin Watson 4.9
15 TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins 4.8
16 TE Tyler Eifert 4.7
17 TE Vance McDonald 4.7
18 TE Ricky Seals-Jones 4.6
19 TE Antonio Gates 4.5
20 TE Jake Butt 4.4
21 TE Rhett Ellison 4.3
22 TE Jeff Heuerman 4.2
23 TE Mark Andrews 4.1
24 TE Charles Clay 4.0
25 TE Jack Doyle 4.0
RANK POS PLAYER NON-PPR PROJECTION
1 K Rams 10.0
2 K Jets 10.0
3 K Browns 10.0
4 K Bears 9.0
5 K Dolphins 9.0
6 K Titans 9.0
7 K Redskins 9.0
8 K Cowboys 9.0
9 K Jaguars 8.0
10 K Seahawks 8.0
11 K Lions 8.0
12 K Vikings 7.0
13 K Steelers 7.0
14 K Raven 7.0
15 K Colts 7.0
16 K Broncos 6.0
17 K Panthers 6.0
18 K Eagles 6.0
19 K Bengals 6.0
20 K Bills 6.0
RANK POS PLAYER NON-PPR PROJECTION
1 K Robbie Gould 10.0
2 K Mason Crosby 10.0
3 K Justin Tucker 10.0
4 K Ryan Succop 10.0
5 K Cody Parkey 9.0
6 K Will Lutz 9.0
7 K Matt Prater 9.0
8 K Aldrick Rosas 9.0
9 K Jason Myers 8.0
10 K Adam Vinatieri 8.0
11 K Ka’Imi Fairbairn 8.0
12 K Randy Bullock 8.0
13 K Stephen Hauschka 7.0
14 K Chandler Catanzaro 7.0
15 K Brandon McManus 7.0
16 K Harris Butker 7.0
17 K Josh Lambo 6.0
18 K Stephen Gostkowski 6.0
19 K Matt Bryant 6.0
20 K Sebastian Janikowski 6.0

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